Skip to content

Chapter 4 of 8

Common Probability Distributions

Several named probability distributions serve as building blocks for statistical models. The Bernoulli distribution models a single trial with two outcomes, success with probability \(p\) and failure with probability \(1 - p\). Repeating such trials independently yields the binomial distribution, which counts the number of successes in \(n\) Bernoulli trials; it has mean \(np\) and variance \(np(1-p)\). The Poisson distribution models the count of events occurring in a fixed interval at a constant rate \(\lambda\), with both its mean and variance equal to \(\lambda\). The geometric distribution counts the number of trials needed to obtain the first success in a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials.

For continuous variables, the normal distribution is the most important: a symmetric, bell-shaped curve fully described by its mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). The standard normal is the special case with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, and the 68-95-99.7 rule states that about 68%, 95%, and 99.7% of observations fall within 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations of the mean, respectively. The t-distribution resembles the normal but has heavier tails, making it appropriate when the sample size is small or the population standard deviation is unknown. The chi-square distribution is the distribution of a sum of squared standard normal variables and is used in tests involving variance or categorical data, while the F-distribution, the ratio of two scaled chi-square variables, underpins ANOVA and many regression diagnostics. Two theoretical results unify much of this material. The central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution of the mean approaches a normal distribution as sample size grows, regardless of the population's underlying shape; this is what justifies normal-based inference for many real-world data. The law of large numbers guarantees that the sample mean converges to the population mean as the sample grows, so averages become more reliable with more data.

All chapters
  1. 1Foundations of Statistical Thinking
  2. 2Describing Data: Summaries and Visualization
  3. 3Probability Foundations and Random Variables
  4. 4Common Probability Distributions
  5. 5Sampling, Estimation, and Hypothesis Testing
  6. 6Statistical Tests in Practice
  7. 7Regression, Correlation, and Predictive Modeling
  8. 8Special Topics, Biases, and Modern Methods

Drill it

Reading is not remembering. These come from the Statistics Essentials deck:

Q

What is a population in statistics?

The entire set of individuals, items, or measurements that share a common property and are the subject of a statistical study.

Q

What is a sample?

A subset of a population selected to represent it for analysis.

Q

Why do we use samples instead of populations?

Because measuring the entire population is often impractical, costly, or impossible.

Q

What is a parameter?

A numerical value that describes a characteristic of a population (e.g., μ for mean, σ for standard deviation).